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A National Statistics Publication for Scotland: Scottish Households Below Average Income, 2006/07

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SCOTTISH HOUSEHOLDS BELOW AVERAGE INCOME, 2006/07

POVERTY IN SCOTLAND

This publication presents annual estimates of the proportion and number of children, working age adults and pensioners living in low income households in Scotland. It presents progress towards UK and Scotland Government targets to reduce poverty.

All figures are derived from the Department for Work and Pensions' Family Resources Survey, Households Below Average Income datasets. The data being published for the first time here is from the Households Below Average Income 2006/07 dataset. The Department for Work and Pensions have published equivalent figures for the UK.

Progress towards the Scottish Government's target to reduce poverty is presented below. The following two pages focus on the UK Government Target to eradicate child poverty by 2020. Pages 4 and 5 present further information on the number and proportion of people in poverty in Scotland. The methodology and definitions of key concepts are explained on pages 6 to 8.

Further analysis of these low income poverty figures, and progress towards the Scottish Government Solidarity Target, will be published on the Income and Poverty website in June 2008.

Scottish Government National Indicator 14: Decrease the proportion of individuals living in relative low income poverty

In 2006/07 there were 840,000 individuals living in relative low income poverty before housing costs. This represents 17% of the Scottish population.

Of the 840,000 individuals living in relative low income poverty, 210,000 are children, 440,000 are working age adults and 180,000 are pensioners 1.

Chart 1: Proportion of individuals in poverty

Chart 1: Proportion of individuals in poverty

Relative poverty rates after housing costs are slightly higher (950,000 individuals or 19% of the population).

Child Poverty

The child poverty measure forms the basis of the UK Government target to halve child poverty by 2010, from a 1998/99 baseline, and eradicate it by 2020. The measure consists of 3 tiers:

Tier 1, Absolute low income: Number and proportion of children in households whose equivalised income before housing costs is below 60% of inflation adjusted median 2 income in 1998/99. This is a measure of whether the poorest families are seeing their incomes rise in real terms.

Tier 2, Relative low income: Number and proportion of children in households whose equivalised income before housing costs is below 60% of median 2 income in the same year. This is a measure of whether the poorest families are keeping pace with the growth of incomes in the economy as a whole.

Tier 3, Material deprivation and low income combined: Number and proportion of children that are both materially deprived and are in households whose equivalised income before housing costs is less than 70% of the median 2 in the current year. This is to provide a wider measure of children's living standards.

For more information about equivalence scales, absolute and relative low income measures, and how material deprivation is calculated, please see 'Notes, definitions and further reading' on pages 6 to 8.

In 2006/07 there were 120,000 children in Tier 1, 210,000 children in Tier 2 and 160,000 children in Tier 3. Table 1 on the following page provides more detail.

Chart 2: Child poverty in Scotland, 1998/99 - 2006/07

Chart 2: Child poverty in Scotland, 1998/99 - 2006/07

Table 1: Child poverty in Scotland, 1994/95 - 2006/07

Child poverty tier 1

Child poverty tier 2

Child poverty tier 3

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

1994/95

32

350

28

310

1995/96

33

370

27

300

1996/97

34

370

31

340

1997/98

31

340

30

330

1998/99

28

300

28

300

19

210

1999/00

26

280

28

300

2000/01

22

230

27

280

2001/02

16

170

27

280

2002/03

16

170

25

260

2003/04

15

160

24

250

2004/05

13

130

21

210

16

170

2005/06

12

130

21

210

13

130

2006/07

12

120

21

210

16

160

Tier 1: ABSOLUTE (below 60% of GB median in 1998/99 adjusted for inflation) low income before housing costs.

Tier 2: RELATIVE (below 60% of UK median in the same year) low income before housing costs.

Tier 3: Relative low income (below 60% of UK median in the same year) and material deprivation combined.

Please see the notes on pages 6 to 8 for a full explanation of the methodologies used.

Note that the material deprivation suit of questions was not included in the Family Resources Survey before 2004/05. The 1998/99 figures for Combined Low Income and Material Deprivation were estimated assuming that the reduction in Tier 3 poverty between 1998/99 and 2005/06 was equivalent to the fall in Tier 2 poverty in the same time period.

The main points about child poverty in Scotland are:

  • The proportion of children in tier 1 has fallen from 28% in 1998/99 to 12% in 2006/07. This is a decrease of 61% 3.
  • Ten thousand fewer children were in tier 1 in 2006/07 than in 2005/06.
  • The target to halve child poverty by 2010 has already been met for Tier 1 in Scotland.
  • The proportion of children in tier 2 has fallen from 28% in 1998/99 to 21% in 2006/07. This is a decrease of 28%.
  • There was no change in the number of children in tier 2 between 2005/06 and 2006/07.
  • In order to meet the target to halve child poverty by 2010 (from a 1998/99 baseline), 60,000 more children need to be lifted from Tier 2 in the next 3 years.
  • The proportion of children in tier 3 has fallen from an estimated 19% in 1998/99 to 16% in 2006/07. This is a decrease of 24%.
  • Thirty thousand more children were in tier 3 in 2006/07 than in 2005/06. The fluctuation from 16% to 13% and back again in the past 3 years demonstrates the high variability of this measure: caution should be exercised when interpreting year on year changes.
  • In order to meet the target to halve child poverty by 2010, 50,000 more children need to be lifted from Tier 3 in the next 3 years.

All Individuals

  • 10% of individuals are in absolute poverty before housing costs compared to 12% after housing costs.
  • 17% of individuals are in relative poverty before housing costs compared to 19% after housing costs.

Line graph - Absolute and Relative low income households

Working Age Adults

  • 10% of working age adults are in absolute poverty before housing costs compared to 12% after housing costs.
  • 14% of working age adults are in relative poverty before housing costs compared to 18% after housing costs.

Line graph - Absolute and Relative low income households

Pensioners

  • 11% of pensioners are in absolute poverty before housing costs compared to 7% after housing costs.
  • 20% of pensioners are in relative poverty before housing costs compared to 15% after housing costs.

Line graph - Absolute and Relative low income households

Table 2: ABSOLUTE low income (below 60% of 1998/99 GB median adjusted for inflation) in Scottish households

All individuals

Children

Working Age Adults

Pensioners

Before housing costs

After housing costs

Before housing costs

After housing costs

Before housing costs

After housing costs

Before housing costs

After housing costs

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

1994/95

25

1,240

28

1,380

32

350

34

380

19

590

22

660

35

300

39

340

1995/96

25

1,230

27

1,340

33

370

36

400

18

550

20

610

37

320

37

330

1996/97

24

1,220

27

1,360

34

370

36

400

18

540

21

650

35

310

36

320

1997/98

21

1,060

23

1,170

31

340

32

350

16

490

19

560

26

230

30

260

1998/99

20

980

23

1,130

28

300

31

330

15

450

19

570

26

230

27

230

1999/00

19

950

22

1,120

26

280

30

320

15

470

19

580

23

200

25

220

2000/01

17

850

20

990

22

230

25

270

16

470

18

550

17

150

18

160

2001/02

13

640

15

740

16

170

20

210

11

350

14

430

13

120

12

100

2002/03

14

710

16

770

16

170

19

200

14

410

16

480

14

130

11

100

2003/04

12

610

14

670

15

160

18

180

11

350

13

410

12

110

9

80

2004/05

11

560

12

620

13

130

15

160

11

320

13

390

12

110

7

70

2005/06

11

550

12

600

12

130

14

140

11

330

13

400

11

100

6

60

2006/07

10

510

12

600

12

120

15

150

10

300

12

390

11

100

7

60

Note: Due to rounding, the estimates for children, working age adults and pensioners may not sum to the total for all individuals.

Table 3: RELATIVE low income (below 60% of UK median in the same year) in Scottish households

All individuals

Children

Working Age Adults

Pensioners

Before housing costs

After housing costs

Before housing costs

After housing costs

Before housing costs

After housing costs

Before housing costs

After housing costs

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

%

(000s)

1994/95

21

1,040

23

1,140

28

310

30

330

17

510

18

560

26

220

29

250

1995/96

20

980

23

1,160

27

300

32

360

14

440

18

540

28

240

31

270

1996/97

22

1,090

25

1,230

31

340

33

360

16

490

19

580

30

260

33

290

1997/98

20

1,000

22

1,120

30

330

31

330

16

470

18

540

24

210

28

250

1998/99

20

980

23

1,130

28

300

31

330

15

450

19

570

26

230

27

230

1999/00

21

1,050

24

1,200

28

300

32

350

17

510

20

600

27

240

28

250

2000/01

21

1,040

24

1,220

27

280

32

340

18

540

22

650

24

210

25

220

2001/02

19

960

22

1,110

27

280

31

330

16

490

19

570

21

190

24

210

2002/03

20

1,000

23

1,120

25

260

27

280

18

530

20

620

23

210

25

220

2003/04

19

920

21

1,020

24

250

27

280

16

480

18

560

22

190

21

180

2004/05

17

860

19

960

21

210

25

250

15

460

18

560

20

190

16

150

2005/06

18

880

20

990

21

210

24

250

15

470

19

590

20

190

16

150

2006/07

17

840

19

950

21

210

25

250

14

440

18

550

20

180

15

140

Note: Due to rounding, the estimates for children, working age adults and pensioners may not sum to the total for all individuals.

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Page updated: Monday, June 9, 2008